Summary
Samenvatting Capacity Planning
- Course
- Institution
samenvatting van de slides van capacity planning
[Show more]
1 review
By: casijnvantill • 2 year ago
Seller
Followannebrouwer28
Reviews received
Content preview
Capacity planningWeek 1 Lecture 1&2:
Annual traffic forecast methods:
Trend projection
o Historical data for determination of trend
o Extrapolation from historical trend
o Implicit assumption of continued stability of influences
o Applicable for preparing a single development scenario
o Not time intensive and suitable for a quick & dirty approach to a forecast
Market and industry surveys
o High level research method
Analyze the characteristics of the air transport market in
combination with catchment area
o This method is useful for forecasting green field airports
o The obtained outcomes must, by the forecaster, be transformed into
quantitative forecast figures
Delphi technique – experts opinion
o The Delphi technique is a special method for forecasting by the consolidation
of aviation expert opinions (stakeholders) on the future air traffic
development
o This method is generally used in case data is sparse or not available
o The forecaster selects (qualified) people and presents a questionnaire in
which they are requested to indicate a most probable course of future air
traffic demand
Econometric method – regression analysis
o Mostly used air traffic forecasting method
o Regression analysis is a casual method of demand projection
o The historical traffic development is explained by the impact of various
economic, social and operational indicators
Outcomes are used to develop the forecast model
o Requires reliable historical and forecast data of (socio-economic) indicators
Traffic forecasts:
Are always wrong
o Nobody knows what will happen in the future
Representation of possible air traffic developments
Passenger demand:
The passenger type is one of the factors that makes an airports’ demand specific
It also results in a certain peakyness throughout the day or throughout the year
,Passenger volume distribution:
.
How is forecasting related to catchment area:
Connections determine options
Airline determine connections
People determine need for demand
Airports facilitates airlines
Catchment area:
Is not constant
o The content changes
Business environment
Population composition
Migrant patterns:
The bilateral flows between 196 countries are estimated from sequential stock
tables that are comparable across. Countries and capture the number of people who
changed their country of residence between mid 2005 and mid 2010
The circular plot shows the estimates of directional flows between the 50 countries
that send and/or receive at least 0,5% of the world’s migrants in 2005-10
Airport data:
Catchment area differs by geographical geometry and position of country
Data can be found at CAPA
Preparing to forecast:
Know what is happening in your country
Know what type of airport and catchment area you have
Understand the dynamics people moving around
, Capacity steps:
Potential traffic
Assess capacities
Determine required capacities
Traffic throughput
The benefits of buying summaries with Stuvia:
Guaranteed quality through customer reviews
Stuvia customers have reviewed more than 700,000 summaries. This how you know that you are buying the best documents.
Quick and easy check-out
You can quickly pay through credit card or Stuvia-credit for the summaries. There is no membership needed.
Focus on what matters
Your fellow students write the study notes themselves, which is why the documents are always reliable and up-to-date. This ensures you quickly get to the core!
Frequently asked questions
What do I get when I buy this document?
You get a PDF, available immediately after your purchase. The purchased document is accessible anytime, anywhere and indefinitely through your profile.
Satisfaction guarantee: how does it work?
Our satisfaction guarantee ensures that you always find a study document that suits you well. You fill out a form, and our customer service team takes care of the rest.
Who am I buying these notes from?
Stuvia is a marketplace, so you are not buying this document from us, but from seller annebrouwer28. Stuvia facilitates payment to the seller.
Will I be stuck with a subscription?
No, you only buy these notes for $4.33. You're not tied to anything after your purchase.
Can Stuvia be trusted?
4.6 stars on Google & Trustpilot (+1000 reviews)
64438 documents were sold in the last 30 days
Founded in 2010, the go-to place to buy study notes for 14 years now