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All lectures including speaker notes of Consumer behavior

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All the lectures and notes of both the lecturer and myself for the course consumer behavior.

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  • March 17, 2022
  • 55
  • 2021/2022
  • Class notes
  • Kobe millet
  • All classes
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CB 2.5 by SJP
Lecture 1: Introduction On The Study Of Consumer Behavior
What is consumer behavior?
Processes involved in selecting, buying, using, or disposing of products, services, ideas and experiences to satisfy
needs and wants.
 Obtaining of a product: deciding to buy a product, deciding between brands, where to buy, how to pay, how
to transport
 Consuming of a product: how you use a product, how you store a product, who uses the product, how much
you consume, how a product compares with expectations
 Disposing of a product: how you get rid of remaining product, how much you throw away after use, reselling
products, how you recycle products
 This is influenced by both consumer factors and marketing factors.

Consumer (individual/group/organization) is influences by affect, cognition, and behavior, which are all interrelated.

Why study consumer behavior?
 To understand consumers
o What do they need?
o How do they decide?
o What makes them happy?
 Predict their reaction to marketing strategies
o Changes to your product or service
o Price changes
o Change positioning

Not everyone is like you (false consensus)! Often you don’t know what you would do (affective forecasting), why do
you what you do (we just do it and justify, we don’t really think about it upfront).

Example: day-care center case
Children should be picked up at 18:00, but parents are often late. Solutions are fines (but this also may encourage
this behavior, because they won’t feel guilty anymore – extra service so opposite behavior).
 our intuition is often wrong!

The intuition trap: problems with common sense.
 Conformation bias: we are resistant to changing our prior beliefs.
 We focus on conforming instances – we have a tendency to get a conformation to see what we want to see.
 Your preferences are not representative for society.
o Projection bias/false consensus
 Limited theories
 Make decisions based on few observations
 Infer causality from correlation
 Overconfidence

Intuitive ideas are easy, more vivid, appealing, well-remembered. Scientific stories are complex, careful and
situational. This is called educated intuition




Why study consumer behavior: marketing organizations
 To know how to influence consumers – firm  consumers
 To know what consumers want – consumers  firm
It is not just anymore about delivering what consumers want, it is about what they care about and how they provide
that.

, CB 2.5 by SJP
Getting a Spotify paid account gets rid of the annoying ads, paying a higher fee on Netflix allows for more screens
watching the same time  solves annoyance
Do consumers know what they really want? Most of the time, no  shuffle function for music.

Public policy makers assume that if people only know how bad something is, they will not do it. However, people are
still smoking, so this is also an assumption policy makers make, which is thus not correct.

Why study consumer behavior: public policy
Regulate behavior: public policy
 How will consumers react to regulations?
o Cigarette warning labels
 How will consumers react to market changes?
o Recession, tax cuts, changes in mortgage subsidies

Assumption: if people only know how bad something is, they will not do it  this is wrong!

If you want to change behavior, social marketing is needed
 To encourage/discourage activities
 The effect of advertising on society

Recap
What is consumer behavior? Obtaining, consuming, and disposing products and services. this is influenced by
personal and external factors (effect on affect, cognition, and behavior)

Why study consumer behavior? For marketers, to understand and predict the behavior of the consumer (to be able
to influence this). For public policy, to regulate and encourage behavior.
This is not easy! As consumers often act irrational

How to study consumer behavior?
Methods for studying consumer behavior
 Interviews & Surveys
o Interviews (qualitative)
 Depth Interviews
 Focus Groups
o Surveys (quantitative)
 Mall Intercepts
 Telephone Surveys
 Mail Questionnaires
 Internet Surveys
 Longitudinal Survey Studies
 Experimental Research

Consumer research
1. Beware of Common Sense: Intuition trap
2. Understand the Nature of the Relationship: is it Causal or Correlational?
3. Consumer Research is a Social Science - Reducing uncertainty rather than establishing certainty

Therefore, it is best to combine methods.

Lecture 2: Irrationality; Research strategies; Correlational research; Research validity
Irrationality
The “wise” consumer assumption
 Preferences are clear and accessible in consumer’s minds
 Consumers make trade offs between quality and price
 Each product is judged on its metric alone – on how it delivers

, CB 2.5 by SJP
 Willingness to pau is the result of evaluating the object we are interested in – we only pay for something
that is worth it
 Market research instruments accurately tells us what consumers really prefer and how much they would pay

Preference reversal
We don’t only look at the size of the cup, but also if there is more in the cup
(which is the case in L). With L, the cup is fuller, so if you see them separately you
think you will get more than you pay for.




Value seems arbitrary
Participants were asked to write the last two digits of their social security number, and then bid for a variety of
items. The higher the two numbers, the more they were bidding on the products

Value is not always fixed and it’s not always about what you get, so the wise consumer assumption is not correct.
Value seems arbitrary

If there are three options, people often go for the middle option as a compromise – it depends on the set of
alternatives.
Compromise effect: the share of a product increases when it is the intermediate option but decreases when it is an
extreme option.

The ownership of products also determines how much you want to pay
Sellers: “imagine that this cup is yours. How much would somebody have to pay to buy it from you?”
Buyers: “imagine you want to buy this cup. How much would you be willing to pay for it?”
Endowment effect: owners assign greater value to a product than non-owners
 if you sell something, you want to get more from it than you would pay to buy it.

This all shows the reality about consumers
Preferences are typically constructed, not revealed
 Every evaluation is relative “reference dependence”
 People don’t know what they want until they see it in context “context dependence”
 Preferences change depending on how the alternatives are presented to them “descriptive dependence”

 you can challenge the rationality in economics
 People take into account the pleasure they obtain from consuming something  just because they should
do something doesn’t mean they will actually do it
 Price they pay for it
 Consumers want “value for money”

Setting prices
Hershey’s kiss vs more fancy Lindor truffle
1 cent vs 16 cent  75% choose the truffle
Free vs 15 cent  69% choose the “free” Hershey’s
 If something is for free, they want to have it

Large assortments & wide product selection – Choice overload
Although the provision of the extensive choices may sometimes still be seen as initially desirable, it may
also prove unexpectedly demotivating in the end  creates a choice overload
 6 jams vs 24 jams: 60% stopped at the 24 jam booth, and 3% bought jam. 40% stopped at the 6 jam booth,
30% bought jam.
People are less likely to buy if there are more options
Freedom of choice: the more choice the better. But, it is harder too choose if you have more choice.

, CB 2.5 by SJP
Why choice makes people miserable
 Regret and anticipated regret
 Opportunity costs: the value of the next best choice that one gives up when making a decision
 Escalation of expectations

Standard economic model
How do economists think about consumers (implicit assumptions)
 People are rational
 People are fully aware of all the options they have
 Always choose the option they like best

Assumptions (which are wrong)
 Full external knowledge (consumers act with full information) – easy to influence
 Full internal knowledge (consumers know their preferences) – more of a problem because harder to
influence
 Maximize utility (consumers choose best option available)

Research strategies; Correlational research; Research validity
Research goals
 Research strategies refer to the general approach and goals of a research study

Strategies
 Descriptive
 Correlational
 Experimental: cause and affect
 Quasi-experimental: you can’t control everything, also cause and effect
 Nonexperimental: 2 groups

Descriptive research strategy
 Describes individual variables
 Obtains a snapshot (of specific characteristics of a specific group of individuals
 Data is usually in the form of averages or percentages
 about summarizing facts and figures

>> Think about opinion polls, facts and figures in newspapers
>> U.S. Census: Goal is to describe accurately and precisely several characteristics of the U.S. population, including
race/ethnicity, age, sex, household size, income, etc.

Relationships between variables
 Most research examines the relationship between variables
o Changes in one variable are accompanied by changes in another variable

Relationships between variables may be
 Linear
 Curvilinear
 Positive
 Negative

Correlational research
Measures two variables for each individual
 Relationship between advertising and sales




Causation versus correlation

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