Class notes
Session 1 (from chap 1 to 8)
- Course
- Institution
All the notes for Session 1 Ch.1: Defining Business Cycles to Ch.8: Forecasting framework by Prof. Peter Navarro.
[Show more]
Seller
Follow
paulmirabel
Content preview
/ Definingbusiness
1
cycles
welfare itmpoyvent
Social Conditions
GDP
adjusted for inflation °
/
Reunion moon Growth
Éᵈ ☒
µ
expansion
tough
tend
papyri
Time
, US GDP has increased
from 1945
2005
.
↳ Red line
But we us are
yearly parent changes
has been
fluctuating .
STATE OF THE Business CYCLE
② How do we
define business
age
/ is ?
② What are the
leading economic indicator ?
What need them ? Can
do we
from you
mention ?
any
, 2/ Leading indicators
↳ Or macroeconomic variables
Definition
• It is an indicator hot tends to
anticipate or lead movements
along
the business
cycle .
•
Useful to
forecast short -
run
global
economic movements
Anticipate the
beginning of
downward
• a
the
movement
along cycle .
YIELD CURVES MARKET CAPITALISATION
WEIGHTED INDICES
The benefits of buying summaries with Stuvia:
Guaranteed quality through customer reviews
Stuvia customers have reviewed more than 700,000 summaries. This how you know that you are buying the best documents.
Quick and easy check-out
You can quickly pay through credit card or Stuvia-credit for the summaries. There is no membership needed.
Focus on what matters
Your fellow students write the study notes themselves, which is why the documents are always reliable and up-to-date. This ensures you quickly get to the core!
Frequently asked questions
What do I get when I buy this document?
You get a PDF, available immediately after your purchase. The purchased document is accessible anytime, anywhere and indefinitely through your profile.
Satisfaction guarantee: how does it work?
Our satisfaction guarantee ensures that you always find a study document that suits you well. You fill out a form, and our customer service team takes care of the rest.
Who am I buying these notes from?
Stuvia is a marketplace, so you are not buying this document from us, but from seller paulmirabel. Stuvia facilitates payment to the seller.
Will I be stuck with a subscription?
No, you only buy these notes for $9.17. You're not tied to anything after your purchase.
Can Stuvia be trusted?
4.6 stars on Google & Trustpilot (+1000 reviews)
56326 documents were sold in the last 30 days
Founded in 2010, the go-to place to buy study notes for 14 years now