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Apuntes Macroeconomics

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Apuntes de todos los temas de Macroeconomics.

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  • 2 maart 2024
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‭Chapter 2 - OUTPUT, INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT‬


‭❖‬ ‭Aggregate output‬

I‭ ntermediate good‬‭= a G used in the prod of another‬‭G‬
‭Final good‬‭= a G that is directly sold to consumer,‬‭to cover one’s needs/wants‬

‭GDP‬‭(has different def) =‬
‭1.‬ ‭Sum of value of final G&S produced in the eco during a given period‬
‭→ Only count final goods (not intermediate G)‬
‭2.‬ ‭Sum of value added in eco during a given period‬
‭→ Value added = value of prod minus value of intermediate G used in prod‬
‭3.‬ ‭Sum of incomes in eco during a given period‬
‭→ Value added = labor income (wages) + profit income‬

‭Nominal GDP‬‭(gross) = sum of Q of final G produced‬‭times their current price‬
‭→ Increases for 2 reasons:‬
‭-‬ ‭Production of most G increases‬
‭-‬ ‭Price of most G increases‬
‭SO if nominal GDP increases faster than real GDP → there is inflation‬
‭= C + G + I + NX‬

‭Real GDP‬‭(real gross) = sum of Q of final G times‬‭constant (‬‭not‬‭current) prices‬
‭→ Important number, the one we want to look at‬
‭ATT reference year when real GDP = nominal GDP‬


‭EXAMPLE‬

‭ There is deflation (bc real GDP proves that Q‬

‭increases, hence, for nominal GDP to be‬
‭stagnant, prices have to decrease).‬




‭EXAMPLE‬

,‭❖‬ ‭Unemployment rate‬




-‭ ‬ ‭ omeone is unemployed if: doesn’t have a job + has been looking for one in past month‬
S
‭-‬ ‭Unemployment rate = ratio of nb of people who are unemployed to nb of people in labor force‬




‭-‬ ‭Participation rate = Labor Force / total pop of working age‬




‭❖‬ ‭Inflation rate‬

-‭ ‬ I‭ nflation‬‭= sustained rise in the general level of‬‭prices (the price level)‬
‭-‬ ‭Inflation rate‬‭= rate at which the price level increases‬
‭-‬ ‭Deflation‬‭= sustained decline in the price level (negative‬‭inflation rate)‬

‭-‬ ‭GDP deflator‬‭in year t (Pt) = the ratio of nominal‬‭GDP to real GDP in year t:‬




‭ TT it’s an index number → it has no direct eco interpretation. It’s used to compare‬
A
‭one year’s result with the previous one‬
‭SO to calculate inflation rate w/ GDP deflator: find Pt and Pt-1, then calc rate‬

‭-‬ ‭Rate of change‬‭(of inflation):‬



‭-‬ ‭Relationship bt/ nominal GDP, real GDP and GDP deflator:‬




‭-‬ ‭ eadline inflation: the most-used one, “normal one”‬
H
‭VS core inflation: look at prices except for energy and food prices‬
‭BC very volatile → difficult for central banks to predict // i$ rates‬
‭-‬ ‭“Best” inflation rate: low and stable rate, bt/ 1% and 4%‬
‭BUT target (established by each Central Bank) varies from country to country‬

,‭Short run, medium run, long run‬

‭-‬ ‭Short run‬‭(a few years): year-to-year mvmts in output‬‭are primarily drive by mvmts in D‬
‭→ ATT the one we will be looking at during the course (next months/couple of years)‬
‭-‬ ‭Medium run‬‭(decade): eco tends to return to level‬‭of output determined by supply factors, like‬
‭K stock, lvl of techno and size of labor force‬
‭-‬ ‭Long run‬‭(a few decades or more): eco depends on its‬‭ability to innovate and introduce new‬
‭techno, how much people save, quality of country’s edu system, quality of gov, etc.‬




‭Relationships between diff indicators / variables‬

‭➢‬ ‭Okun’s Law: output and unemployment‬


(‭ each point = a year)‬
‭· Negative correlation‬
‭· High output growth → decs unemp rate‬
‭· Line’s slope: -0.4‬
‭SO growth incs 1% = unemp decrs 0.4%‬
‭· If growth > 3%, then unemployment decrs‬
‭(bc line crosses horizontal axis @ 3,0)‬




‭➢‬ ‭Phillips Curve: unemployment and inflation rate‬




·‭ Negative correlation, but not so clear‬
‭· Higher unemp leads to decrs in inflation‬
‭· When unemp < 6%, inflatº typically incrs‬

, ‭Chapter 3 - THE DEMAND FOR GOODS AND SERVICES‬


‭❖‬ ‭Demand for Goods‬

‭-‬ ‭Total demand for goods (Z):‬


·‭ Consumption (C): G&S purchased by consumers‬
‭· Investment (I): the sum of nonresidential investment and residential investment‬
‭· Gov spending (G): purchases of G&S by the federal, state and local governments‬
‭· Exports (X): purchases of domestic G&S by foreigners‬
‭· Imports (IM): purchases of foreign G&S by local consumers, firms and gov‬

‭-‬ ‭In a closed economy (X = IM = 0):‬




‭➢‬ ‭CONSUMPTION‬
‭○‬ ‭Consumption (C): a functº of disposable income (Y‬‭D‬‭)‬
‭(Y = income that remains once consumers have received gov transfers + paid taxes)‬
‭→ C(Y‬‭D‭)‬ is called the‬‭consumption function‬



‭→ Graphical representation of consumption function:‬




‭○‬ ‭Consumption function: linear relation w/ 2 parameters c0 and c1:‬




‭· c0: what people would consume if their disposable income equals zero‬
‭SO changes in c0 reflect changes in csumptº for given level of disposable Y‬
‭· c1: propensity to consume (assumed to be higher than 0 and lower than 1)‬

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