Case study Fukushima pt. II (in-depth summary with PP-slides)
3 views 0 purchase
Course
Case study Fukushima
Institution
Universiteit Leiden (UL)
This document provides an in-depth summary of the lectures 8-14 of the Case study Fukushima. It provides relevant PowerPoint slides, quotes, and guest lectures.
See 'case study Fukushima pt. I' for the in-depth summaries of the first 7 lectures.
LECTURE 11: HEALTH & ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS BY THOMAS & SMITH.......................................15
CONCEPTS........................................................................................................................................15
SUMMARY........................................................................................................................................16
HEALTH EFFECTS........................................................................................................................................16
ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS...........................................................................................................................20
RECAP.............................................................................................................................................23
LESSON 12: JAPANESE POP CULTURE & ART BY PERLSTEIN & KAWAKUBO.......................................24
CONCEPTS........................................................................................................................................24
SUMMARY I BY PERLSTEIN...................................................................................................................24
RECAP POP CULTURE...........................................................................................................................25
SUMMARY II BY KAWAKUBO.................................................................................................................25
LECTURE 13: NUCLEAR COMMUNICATION BY TSUBOKURA & TAKAHASHI.......................................26
SUMMARY I BY TSUBOKURA.................................................................................................................26
POST ACCIDENT FOOD SAFETY SCIENCE.........................................................................................................26
SUMMARY II BY TAKAHASI...................................................................................................................28
CONCEPTS................................................................................................................................................28
RECAP.............................................................................................................................................32
LECTURE 14: CRISIS DECISION-MAKING BY BROEKEMA...................................................................32
Lecture 8: fundamentals Safety science II by van Gelder
Concepts
Domino type of failure= dependency of the failures.
Expected value= take the decision which maximizes the expected
payoff.
Hurwicz Criterion= how much is your own coefficient of optimism
(choose the
maximum outcome)?
Laplace Criterion= take the decision which maximizes the average
payoff.
Calculate for every decision the average payoff and
choose
the highest number.
Maximax Criteria= take the decision which maximizes the maximum
payoff
(optimistic)
Maximin Criteria= take the decision which maximizes the minimum
payoff
(pessimistic).
Minimax Regret Criterion= minimize your maximum regret. How much
is the
regret if another scenario would’ve occurred.
Profit= the difference between the revenue and the costs.
Risk analysis= only analysing the risk as a function of something.
Risk management= cost-benefit analysis decision-making > risk-
reduction.
Sensitivity analysis (intuition)= what do you expect with the optimum
number
(Base on cost-benefit analysis) of components in a system if something
happens with the parameters (qualitative).
Willingness-to-pay= reduction in the expected number of fatalities
divided
(WTP) by the investment
Formula
Hurwicz Criterion Calculation= a (Max. payoff) + (1-a)(Min. payoff)
(Pess. = 0 1 = Optim.)
Probability for series system= P(A U B)= P(A) + P(B) – (P(A) *P(B))
When combination of parallel & series system = multiply the parallel to
one outcome!
Profit calculations= revenue – costs. (Could use payoff matrix or decision
tree).
The outcome variable calculation is a function of the decision taken and
the scenario that takes place.
Absolute difference between the probability of TE and the probability of TE
> component Y does not fail.
Relative difference > dividing it by the
probability of the Top Event.
Page 1 of 38
The benefits of buying summaries with Stuvia:
Guaranteed quality through customer reviews
Stuvia customers have reviewed more than 700,000 summaries. This how you know that you are buying the best documents.
Quick and easy check-out
You can quickly pay through credit card or Stuvia-credit for the summaries. There is no membership needed.
Focus on what matters
Your fellow students write the study notes themselves, which is why the documents are always reliable and up-to-date. This ensures you quickly get to the core!
Frequently asked questions
What do I get when I buy this document?
You get a PDF, available immediately after your purchase. The purchased document is accessible anytime, anywhere and indefinitely through your profile.
Satisfaction guarantee: how does it work?
Our satisfaction guarantee ensures that you always find a study document that suits you well. You fill out a form, and our customer service team takes care of the rest.
Who am I buying these notes from?
Stuvia is a marketplace, so you are not buying this document from us, but from seller yuliagobel. Stuvia facilitates payment to the seller.
Will I be stuck with a subscription?
No, you only buy these notes for $10.28. You're not tied to anything after your purchase.
