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Covers all content in ST201 Statistical Models and Data Analysis at LSE
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ST201 Notes1. Nominal/Categorical: formed by categories that cannot be ranked, e.g. eye colour, religion.
2. Dichotomous/Binary: nominal variables with only two categories, e.g male and female,
alive and dead.
3. Ordinal: categories can be ranked but the distance between categories may not be equal
across the range; e.g. gears (1,2,3,4,5), exam results (A, B, C, D, E, U).
4. Continuous: variables can take any value in a range, e.g. speed, weight, time.
Mode: The value that occurs most frequently, if it exists
Median: The (½(n+1))th value; it is robust to outliers
Mean: 1 / n∑x = x bar; it is sensitive to outliers
Range: the difference between the highest and lowest values
Standard deviation or S.D.:
Pearson’s correlation r: ranges from -1 to +1
Spearman’s ρ also ranges from -1 to +1 but is based on the ranking of the values.
Specifically, it is defined as the Pearson correlation coefficient between the ranked variables
and is a more general correlation which can be applied to non-linear but monotonic
relationships.
Skewness
,It is important to extend univariate statistics to express the symmetry or lack of symmetry of
data.
For left skewness, mean < median < mode
For right skewness, mode < median < mean
For symmetry, mode = median = mean
Statistical Inference
The analysis of sample data to draw conclusions (inferences) about the population from
which the sample was taken.
Important terminology:
− Parameter: a value, usually unknown, used to represent a population characteristic – within
a population, a parameter is a fixed value – normally represented by a Greek letter. –
, Estimator: a rule for calculating an estimate based on sample data and used to approximate a
parameter from the population – normally represented by a Roman letter
The analysis of sample data to draw conclusions (inferences) about the population from
which the sample was taken.
− An Estimate is the value obtained after calculating an estimator using data from a particular
sample
– unlike a parameter, estimates are not fixed
– they vary across samples reflecting sampling variability
We can draw different samples and from each of them obtain an estimate to assess the
properties of a particular estimator.
In doing so it is vital that we use randomly picked samples (simple random samples), to
ensure that the samples are representative of the population.
The distribution of the different estimates obtained from each sample is known as the
sampling distribution.
The mean of this distribution is the point estimate and the observations around it, or the area
around it, constitutes the uncertainty
Ideally, we want unbiased and precise estimators.
The former requires the expectation of the estimator being equal to the population parameter,
e.g. E(X bar) =
The latter requires that the standard deviation of the sampling distribution, i.e. the standard
error of the estimator (or SE), to be as small as possible.
Put another way, we require estimators to be close to the target population parameter and to
have small variance.
Central Limit Theorem
The key to statistical inference is the sampling distribution of an estimator.
According to the central limit theorem:
− for large samples (in practice size > about 30)
− from a population with mean μ and standard deviation σ
− the sample mean will be approximately normally distributed
− with mean μ and standard deviation σ/√n n
− regardless of how the population is distributed.
So, although we will usually just take one sample and obtain one single point estimate,
invoking the central limit theorem and the properties of a normal distribution, we can assess
the uncertainty surrounding such an estimate.
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