Macro-economische ontwikkelingen en bedrijfsomgeving
Ad Marijs & Wim Hulleman
8e druk
ISBN: 978-9001-73462-6
, Hoofdstuk 9: Conjunctuur en overheidsbeleid
Inhoudsopgave
9.1 Conjunctuurverloop .......................................................................................................................... 3
9.1.1 Kitchin, Juglar en Kondratieff ..................................................................................................... 3
9.1.2 Fasen van de conjunctuurcyclus................................................................................................. 3
Conjuncturele opgang (herstel)....................................................................................................... 3
Hoogconjunctuur (hausse) .............................................................................................................. 4
Conjuncturele neergang (afkoeling) ................................................................................................ 4
Laagconjunctuur (baisse)................................................................................................................. 4
9.1.3 Rol van investeringen in de conjunctuurcyclus .......................................................................... 4
9.2 Conjunctuur in Nederland ................................................................................................................. 5
9.2.1 Conjunctuur in beeld .................................................................................................................. 5
Conjuncturele ontwikkelingen ........................................................................................................ 5
Duur van de conjunctuurgolf........................................................................................................... 5
Intensiteit van de conjunctuurcyclus .............................................................................................. 6
9.2.2 Conjunctuurverloop in Nederland.............................................................................................. 6
9.3 Registratie en voorspelling van de conjunctuur ................................................................................ 7
9.3.1 Conjunctuurklok ......................................................................................................................... 7
9.3.2 Conjunctuurprognoses ............................................................................................................... 8
Macro-economische modellen ........................................................................................................ 8
Conjunctuurindicatoren, conjunctuurbarometer en ‘early warning indicators’ ............................. 8
2|Pagina
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