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diagnostic test performance lecture

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includes: defining a disease, what is test and when is it used?, god standard, cut offs, predictive values, likelihood ratios

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  • December 21, 2023
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  • 2020/2021
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Week 6, Lecture
Diagnostic Test Performance
What defines a disease?
 Criteria that must be met for an individual to be considered a case
o Clinical signs
o Biological indicators
o Survey responces
 Set criteria is a test
What is a test?
 A measurement of detection
 A tool
 Discrete or continuous outcomes
When do we use a test?
 Disease surveillance
 Diagnosis
 Research
o Disease status
o Risk factors
 Need to be aware of misclassification bias
Gold standard test applied to all individuals
 Too expensive or invasive
 Tests for widespread use
o Not always matched by those of the gold standard
 May not completely align with the truth
 Performance is how we quantify how good an alignment is
 Positive test result does not always mean you have the disease
 Negative test results do not always mean you do not have the disease
 More complex
 Tests are imperfect
 Must decide thresholds for either doing or not something
 Harms and benefits of treating and not treating
 Must think carefully about the balance
The ideal
 Consider a test based on a parameter that can be measured
 Can often be substantial overlap and so some could be misclassified if you used cut
off parameters
 Four groups
o Correct – true negatives and positives
o Misclassified – false negatives and positives
 Can summarise against gold standard using a 2x2 table
Cut off values: a trade off
 Minimised misclassification
 Consequences of missing diseased individuals
 Don’t want to do this for severe treatment options
Defining performance
 A good test has the most people in true positive and true negative columns
 Sensitivity
o How good a test is at finding a disease?

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