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Mini Essay Sustainable Technology Futures, grade: 7,5 (ENP-37803)

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Wageningen University (WUR)

An essay for which I have obtained a 7,5. The assignment was as follows: This second and last individual assignment is to write an essay of max 1500 words in which you critically analyse the sustainable technology futures as you can find them in the media around one of the topics being discussed...

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A FUTURE WITHOUT RUSSIAN NATURAL GAS
A SCENARIO ANALYSIS

Student name
Student number

Bachelor of Science Tourism
Wageningen University & Research
Sustainable Technology Development
ENP-37803
Teacher name
Teacher name

08-03-2022

, Introduction

The necessity of depending on Russian energy resources, such as gas and coal, is increasingly
being debated. Ever since the Russian invasion of Ukraine on the 24 th of February, 2022 (NU.nl,
2022), it has been suggested that Europe’s dependency on Russian resources should be decreased.
Consequently, the International Energy Agency (IEA; 2022) has formulated a 10-point plan to Reduce
the European Union’s reliance on natural gas from Russia. This essay will analyze the scenario as put
forward by the IEA, starting with its relation to the hot topic of sustainability. For convenience
purposes, the 10-point plan has been briefly lined out in Appendix 1 (p. 8).

Natural gas usage and sustainability

The usage of natural gas has several consequences on the environment. Despite it being
considered to be less polluting than coal and oil, burning it causes carbon dioxide to be emitted.
Additionally, due to an increase in gas consumption over the past century, the number of carbon
dioxide emissions has increased heavily (Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, 2020). Moreover,
when burned improperly, carbon monoxide, a highly poisonous gas, is created (Connecticut State,
2021). In addition to emissions, the drilling of gas also has a negative impact on the environment and
society. For example, in Groningen, the Netherlands, devastating tremors are caused by the drilling of
gas, which consequently damage inhabitants’ homes (Reed, 2019). Next to the effects gas usage has
on the environment and society, gas is also a limited resource and a time comes in which humanity
will run out of gas (Millennium Alliance for Humanity and the Biosphere, 2019). The aforementioned
consequences of gas usage lead to the argument that despite natural gas being a more sustainable
alternative to coal and oil, an even more sustainable alternative must be implemented in the current
urban network in order for humans to not exceed the planetary boundaries. However, the main topic of
discussion in relation to natural gas usage is currently the reduction of dependency on Russian gas in
relation the Russia-Ukraine war.

Scenario analysis

The unit of analysis of this essay, the 10-point plan of the IEA to reduce the EU’s dependency
on Russian natural gas, is subject to several pitfalls as described by Geels & Smit (2000). For example,
the first pitfall, which includes expectations being biased by current cultural concerns, can be applied
in this context. As previously mentioned, while arguments relating to sustainability could be made for
reducing (Russian) gas use, the primarily reason is formed around the Russia-Ukraine war. The use of
Russian coal and gas are the main sources of EU funding of the Russian war, leading to a wish of the
EU member states to accelerate the abolishment of Russian gas. As such, the 10-point plan, which is

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Mini Essay Sustainable Technology Futures, grade: 7,5 (ENP-37803)

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